Posted By Kevin Baron

Not exactly a broken record, but for more than a year General Martin Dempsey, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, has found many ways to make it clear he does not want to get involved in the Syria conflict. 

February 12, 2012 - On CNN

"I think it would be premature to exclusively decide that the time for a military option was upon us."

February 14, 2012 - To the Senate Armed Services Committee

"It is a much different situation than we collectively saw in Libya. I think that's an important point to make, because we don't have as clear an understanding of the nature of the opposition."

May 28, 2012 - On CBS "This Morning"

"I think diplomatic pressure should always precede any discussions about military options. And that's my job by the way is options, not policy. And so we`ll -- we`ll be prepared to provide options if asked to do so."

June 7, 2012 - In the Pentagon

"The pressures that are being brought to bear are simply not having the effect, I think, that we intend. But I'm not prepared to advocate that we abandon that track at this point." 

July 28, 2012 - In San Francisco

"This is one where we need to continue to shape it diplomatically and economically before we would think about applying a military instrument of power."

August 31, 2012 - In London

"The issue of outcomes, I think, is the important question. And as we decide or discuss about the application of any number of means, whether it's humanitarian assistance all the way up through no-fly zones, I think we have to -- we have to understand that the -- we have to have a pretty clear view of what outcome we're seeking to achieve."

January 10, 2013 - At the Pentagon

"The -- the effort -- or the act of preventing the use of chemical weapons would be almost unachievable."

March 18, 2013 - In Washington at the Center for Strategic and International Studies

"I don't think at this point I can see a military option that would create an understandable outcome. And until I do, it would be my advice to proceed cautiously."

April 9, 2013 - On Alhurra

"I have grave concerns that Syria could be a frozen conflict, if you will -- one that is in a perpetual state of conflict. ... And that is why I think that the diplomatic solution that finds an accommodation for all parties and that avoids sectarian conflict is clearly the best option."

April 16, 2013 - To the House Appropriations Subcommittee on Defense 

"We're prepared with options, should the -- should military force be called upon and assuming it can be effectively used to secure our interests without making matters worse. We must also be ready for options for an uncertain and dangerous future. That is a future we have not yet identified."

April 18, 2013 - To the Senate Armed Services Committee

"Before we take action, we have to be prepared for what comes next."

April 30, 2013 - In Washington at a Christian Science Monitor breakfast

"Whether the military effect would produce the kind of outcome I think that not only members of Congress but all of us would desire -- which is an end to the violence, some kind of political reconciliation among the parties, and a stable Syria -- that's the reason I've been cautious about the application of the military instrument of power.... It's not clear to me that it would produce that outcome."

Photo by Scott J. Ferrell/Congressional Quarterly/Getty Images

April is Sexual Assault Awareness and Prevention Month across the nation. How about a breath mint?

Lip balm? Hand sanitizer? Sewing kit? 

In the Pentagon, Defense Department officials have launched a massive public relations campaign to show they're serious about cracking down on sexual assault in the military, while raising awareness among service members. Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel has recorded a message to the troops while DOD has expanded its victim-assistance programs, sought help from outside advocacy groups, and required sexual assault to receive attention higher up the chain of command.

And as with most DOD campaigns, folding tables and cardboard displays were set up in the apex between corridors 9 and 10, and promotional giveaways were handed out.

Every week there is some kind of promotional event at the apex -- whether to get your cholesterol screened, take advantage of DOD retirement advice, celebrate Black History Month, or remind you of your cybersecurity responsibilities.

This month at the apex, as well as in the Pentagon Athletic Center, in order to remind troops not to sexually assault each other, the Air Force is offering a lip balm tube with a label that reads: "SAPR Sexual Assault Prevention & Response; Air Force National Capital Region; 24/7 Hotline 310-981-7272."

The Air Force also passed out tchotchkes like a box of breath mints, which has a bold sticker on the cover that says "NO MEANS NO!" -- because nothing says leave me alone like fresh breath, apparently.

Or, military officers and civilian workers could try the 2.5-ounce hand sanitizer bottle shaped like an open palm. Printed on the bottle: "KEEP UR HANDS 2 YOURSELF," along with the telephone number for the Sexual Assault Response Coordinators 24-hour hotline.

Or, play catch around the Pentagon office using a mini foam football, always a favorite at exhibit booths. This one reminds troops "DON'T FUMBLE... GET CONSENT" and is printed with the same hotline phone numbers.

The mints come in a box wrapped in a trifold cardboard cover that asks "Are you at risk?" On one inside flap is a five-bullet explainer on "What is Sexual Assault?" On the other flap, "Minimize Your Risk" tips suggest that there's safety in numbers, that you have your key ready before you reach a car door, and that you stay sober -- or at least never leave your drink unattended. Another tip, from the breath mint package: "Match your body language to your words -- don't laugh and smile while saying, ‘No.'"

The package also explains what "consent" means and has a final pop quiz, teaching that if you have been sexually assaulted, you should not bathe or shower, presumably to preserve biological evidence.

Other trinkets included a pocket-sized flashlight; a sewing kit; and a small notepad and pen in a plastic carrying case.

Photo by Kevin Baron, Foreign Policy

Posted By John Reed

How's the United States Marine Corps, which bills itself as an amphibious force, going to fight in a world where potential U.S. enemies are stockpiling radars and missiles to keep ships that carry Marines far from their shores? They're going to come in from the sky, according to Maj. Gen. Kenneth McKenzie, the Corps' representative to the Quadrennial Defense Review.

"I think the best example of what being amphibious means to the Marine Corps is Task Force 58. I think it's Brigadier General Jim Mattis launching off the Pakistan coast, striking deep into southern Afghanistan. No amphibious vehicles crossed a beach in that operation," said McKenzie during a breakfast with reporters in Washington this morning.

The Marines of Task Force 58 conducted the longest-distance helicopter raid in history to establish one of the first American bases in Afghanistan in November 2001.

"You strike at a time and place of your choosing with overwhelming force, from a sea base. That is an example of a modern amphibious operation," said the two-star. "You find a weakness in your enemy's defenses, and you go where they're not expecting you, and you go deep and you strike strategically."

He noted that the Corps didn't have the MV-22 Osprey tilt-rotor aircraft in 2001, a weapon that expands the service's ability to perform long-distance raids. "With the V-22 those capabilities would be even more pronounced," said McKenzie.

Not quite what most people have in mind when they think of amphibious warfare. Remember, the Corps still has tons of amphibious armored vehicles, hovercraft, and landing craft designed to bring Marines from their ships to the shore (something McKenzie called an important capability). Still, the 2011 cancellation of the Corps' decades-long effort to buy a new armored vehicle -- the Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle, which could transport troops ashore from ships that are beyond the range of enemy weapons -- shows how difficult the notion of a traditional amphibious assault has become. (The service is still looking at ways to field a 21st Century amphibious assault vehicle.)

"Nobody thinks of the Pacific battles of World War II as a model for the way we want to do business today," McKenzie added.

Throughout the breakfast he maintained that the Corps will promote its role as a lightweight force capable of rapidly deploying around the globe to do everything from providing disaster relief to establishing a foothold in combat zones for the "nation's strategic decisive force" -- the Army -- to move into.

(Click here to see what he told FP's Situation Report in January about the future of the Corps as a light fighting force.)

For example, when asked about his service's role in the Pentagon's air-sea battle concept, McKenzie said it was as an expeditionary raider force.

"Air sea battle looks very hard at the kill chain, technical answers to technical problems. We think you probably need to look beyond that and to think about other operational approaches that don't supplant the technical issues but you want to have tactical answers too. If you take away a base, for example, then you take away the ability to launch a missile," said McKenzie. "That talks about expeditionary operations, that talks about raids and seizures of different places. You want to get the discussion on more than just a technology level."

McKenzie pointed out that the service isn't abandoning coastlines; it will still "play in the littorals." But these missions will likely be oriented toward training other militaries and responding to humanitarian emergencies more than major combat operations.

Click here to read the FP article by McKenzie's fellow Marine, Lt. Gen. Richard Mills, on the types of coastal missions the amphibious service is likely to be tasked with in the future.

U.S. Marine Corps

Posted By Gordon Lubold

Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel, sworn in formally yesterday but in his third week as Pentagon chief, has a full plate, from cyber security to the budget to North Korea, Afghanistan, Syria and North Africa, to sexual assault issues and things that may seem more prosaic but no less politically potent - the future of the Distinguished Warfare Medal.

But he is also focused on building a team of staffers who can help him prioritize, focus, and be effective as he confronts the unrelenting number of decisions he’ll have to make as Pentagon chief.

Despite the many former Hagel staffers who supported him during the contentious confirmation process, both publicly and from the shadows, Hagel is not thought to want to bring a large entourage into the Pentagon -- former secretary Robert Gates famously walked into the building alone. Hagel has so far only brought in one senior aide, Aaron Dowd, a young Nebraskan who has been at his side for the last several years. Dowd is expected to play a significant role, and Hagel will also pull close a former aide from his Senate days, Eric Rosenbach, who is already in the building as a deputy assistant secretary of defense for cyber policy. Tom Waldhauser, the humble Marine three-star who served as Panetta’s most recent senior military adviser and will likely stay on in that role under Hagel.

But one of the most important team players will be what is known as the special assistant, or TSA -- also known as his chief of staff. Hagel appears to be leaning toward Marcel Lettre, now in an “acting” role as special assistant.

Lettre, a former national security adviser to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada, has been in the building for about four years, managing the transition of Gates to Leon Panetta, and serving as the assistant secretary of defense for legislative affairs. He then played a big role in the current transition. He’s well-regarded in and outside of the building, considered a nice guy who knows the Hill but also, increasingly, the building, and sees the big picture. “Secretary Hagel appears to be gelling well with Lettre,” a senior defense official tells Situation Report. “The final decisions haven’t been made on front office personnel, but Marcel is a quiet doer, well-liked, well-respected, and the secretary appears to have recognized that.”

If Lettre gets the nod, he’ll have big shoes to fill, following Panetta’s former chief of staff Jeremy Bash and, before that, Gates’ special assistant Robert Rangel. Both those men were also well-thought of and brought distinct qualities to the front office, say former officials familiar with the dynamic in the defense secretary’s front office.

Bash played the more conventional role of chief of staff, typically traveling with Panetta and staying close to him, effectively managing the front office and day-to-day operations of the Pentagon. Affable and accessible, Bash followed Panetta from the CIA but like others, cut his teeth on the Hill, where he had served as the chief counsel of the Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence. That put the Pentagon’s number two -- Deputy Secretary of Defense Ash Carter, seen as competent and capable -- in what another former official described in a “chief operating officer” role, managing the building.

That was perhaps in contrast to the dynamic under Gates. Rangel, Gates’ right-hand-man, was a quiet enforcer who operated behind the scenes and rarely traveled with the secretary. Gates, who had a tight coterie of advisers, gave Rangel a larger portfolio that diminished the role of Bill Lynn, then the deputy secretary of defense. For example, Rangel had a major advisory role on budgets and policy -- all on top of his role managing Gates’ front office at the Pentagon. As a gatekeeper, Rangel was also obsessive about making sure that whatever was put in front of Gates was staged and ready for a decisive action or some kind of outcome.

“[Rangel] never traveled because his focus was on making sure the secretary’s priorities and guidance were being carried out in the Pentagon,” a former official said.

Rangel was considered fair-minded and knowledgeable and lacked a personal agenda. And perhaps most critically, he was not a screamer.

“I don’t think there are many people who have done [the job] better than Robert,” said former Pentagon policy chief Eric Edelman. “Basically there was no issue that came up that Robert didn’t know like the back of his hand.”

If Hagel gives Lettre the job permanently, he will likely define Lettre’s role much in the same way as Panetta defined Bash’s – someone with whom he will work closely and attend meetings – leaving management of the building to Carter.

Regardless, the most important thing for the special assistant is to cue up decisions for the boss, make sure he makes them, and then ensure the building follows the secretary’s will, said former officials familiar with the dynamics of the front office. He’ll have to help Hagel navigate the seemingly endless corridors of the Pentagon -- from the E-Ring into the A-Ring, and the rings in between, former staffers said. And he’ll have to act as the Great Integrator, coordinating between the services, the Joint Staff and the secretary’s office.

The special assistant must chart the course, digest a lot of information, filter it, prioritize it and then assessing whether that information -- and the people attached to it need the secretary’s attention.

“That’s where you succeed or fail, because that’s what it all comes down to,” said one of the former officials. But if Lettre says in the job, he won’t be able to do it alone. “The key for Marcel is, he’s gotta put a team up there, he can’t do it all by himself… the place is too big, the job is too hard.”

JASON REED/AFP/Getty Images

Posted By Kevin Baron

Good news, Africa. Because Washington’s unbendable lawmakers have allowed sequestration’s automatic multi-billion dollar defense spending cuts to begin, African security may win out in the end, according to the top U.S. commander watching over the continent.

Gen. Carter Ham, commander of U.S. Africa Command, last week told Congress that sequestration will force the U.S. and African countries to cut back on their annual list of military exercises, which are almost exclusively bilateral. That’s bad news.

The good news is that the budget crunch may force African countries to work with each other, turning some exercises and training into multinational efforts that save money.

Since AFRICOM was established nearly five years ago, one of its top declared missions has been to build up forces in African countries, one at a time. But the cost of that mission has always raised eyebrows, as most of that “building partner capacity” work is done via bilateral engagements between U.S. and local forces, one at a time, rather than in larger, multinational exercises commonly underway with allies in Europe, Asia and other parts of the world.

With attention on Africa -- especially terrorism across North Africa -- exploding across headlines, AFRICOM’s budget under the sequester is drawing extra attention from lawmakers. The Senate Armed Services Committee quizzed Ham last week on how the cuts affect the command’s mission.

“The budget reductions we face will cut theater security cooperation engagements and will reduce important joint and combined exercises” Ham said.

“That's what the budget constraints are going to cause us to do,” Ham said, “is to take a much sharper prioritization to our military-to-military engagements in Africa. There are some exercises and other training opportunities that we have been doing in past years that, frankly, will probably fall by the wayside.”

He continued, “I think it will drive us to [an] increased multinational approach to ‘building partner capacity’ as opposed to our exclusive -- almost exclusively bilateral ‘building partner capacity’ activities to date.”

The security benefit is in forcing African militaries to work more closely with each other. The financial benefit to the Pentagon is in developingmore efficient ways to foster regional security while saving U.S. dollars.

Ham may have gotten ahead of himself, though. On Friday, Benjamin Benson, spokesman for AFRICOM, told the E-Ring, “We are currently reviewing which exercises and activities may need to be canceled or modified due to sequestration, but have not announced any specific changes yet.”

According to the command, there were 14 major multinational exercises last year with cool names like Africa Lion (a U.S.-Morocco mission to better link air and land combat units), and Obangame Express, where the Navy trains African authorities how to board, search and seize ships of the Nigerian coast.

The U.S. was scheduled to participate in roughly 350 military-to-military “engagements” across Africa in fiscal 2012. Next year, under incoming commander Gen. David Rodriguez, AFRICOM will have to do more likely with less. Rodriguez is a widely known personality in Washington national security circles, having spent more than two years running the day-to-day operations of the Afghanistan war. He is expected, once in command, to attract a renewed focus in Washington and amid the press corps to the U.S. counterterrorism mission in Africa, much more than the military’s training and humanitarian work, despite the Defense Department’s best public relations efforts.

One lingering issue for Rodriguez is whether to keep AFRICOM headquarters in Germany, or move it to Africa and end the political charade of not looking like the military is too interested in Africa. In Washington, senators were still asking about the headquarters location last week.

“The reality today is a fiscal, financial constraint,” Ham said. “You know us. You see us. We don’t do anything small. So if we were to move the headquarters anywhere, it’s not just the operational headquarters. It’s barracks. It’s housing for families. It’s office spaces. It’s military shopping. It’s a medical treatment facility. It’s schools and playgrounds and gymnasiums and churches and -- I mean, all of the aspects of a military community because that’s our culture, that’s how we do that. And that gets very expensive. And we’re in a situation, like Nigeria and most other countries, where are we looking for ways to reduce military spending, not increase military spending.”

BOUREIMA HAMA/AFP/Getty Images

Posted By Gordon Lubold

Gen. John Allen has pulled his name from consideration for the top military job in Europe, citing the health of his wife Kathy and his desire to support her and his two daughters.

The decision creates an opening the White House must now scramble to fill, since Adm. James Stavridis, the current Supreme Allied Commander and head of U.S. European Command, has been in the job since June 2009. That is nearly a year longer than most combatant commanders serve, and Stavridis is thought to be eager to retire.

Foreign Policy’s Situation Report first reported last week that Allen was considering declining the job in Europe. The formal announcement today now sets off jockeying by other services and flag and general officers to position themselves for what remains a coveted combatant command.

Last month, Allen was exonerated by an investigation that looked into potential improper e-mails between him and Tampa socialite Jill Kelley. Although he was cleared, some media reports about his resignation indicate that Allen was forced out by the White House or that he was trying to avoid a contentious confirmation hearing that could force the Pentagon to release the e-mails.

But Allen’s citing his family may well be true. Kathy Allen has for years suffered from a combination of chronic health issues that include an autoimmune disorder, according to a report posted Tuesday by the Washington Post. Compared to the job of war commander, the job in Europe is seen as an easy one. But it has a brutal schedule that keeps that commander on the road as much as 20 to 25 days each month, according to sources. That would make it difficult for Allen, who just ended a 19-month tour in Kabul, to be there for his wife. “Right now, I’ve just got to get her well,” Allen told the Post. “It’s time to take care of my family.”

Marc Chretien, Allen’s longtime civilian adviser, said that unlike most cases in Washington where public officials cite family as a convenient excuse to mask other reasons for professional decisions, it’s true in Allen’s case. “Where 100 different people can cite family reasons as the reason for their retirement, General Allen is one out of 100 who is doing it exactly for those reasons,” he said in a brief phone interview.

President Barack Obama issued a statement Tuesday saying: “John Allen is one of America’s finest military leaders, a true patriot, and a man I have come to respect greatly. I wish him and his family the very best as they begin this new chapter, and we will carry forward the extraordinary work that General Allen led in Afghanistan.” Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said that Allen had proven himself to be one of the country’s “most outstanding battlefield leaders, a brilliant strategist and an exemplary Marine, and I am deeply grateful for his many years of dedicated service to our country.”

In 2006, Allen was a respected Marine one-star cutting his teeth in Iraq as he and others nurtured the Awakening Movement that brought Sunni sheiks back from self-imposed exile in Jordan and other countries to drive al Qaeda out of Anbar province. Known as a southern gentleman with shrewd political skills, Allen rose quickly, all but skipping the two-star rank.

As he neared the end of a long tour in Kabul last fall, he was nominated to in the dual-hatted role as commander of European Command and Supreme Allied Commander, Europe. The nomination was seen as a capstone job that could nevertheless put him in position to be chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. But soon after Allen was pulled into the scandal that felled David Petraeus.

FBI agents on the Petraeus case discovered e-mails between Kelley and Allen, and Panetta asked the Pentagon’s inspector general to investigate. Initially, some 30,000 pages of correspondence were at issue, but investigators ultimately focused on several dozen e-mails -- some of which Allen’s own wife Kathy had been included on. Investigators concluded last month, however, that nothing improper had taken place between Kelley and Allen.

Names already being floated for the job in Europe include Gen. Jim Amos, commandant of the Marine Corps; Air Force Gen. Paul Selva, now commander of American Mobility Command; Gen. Phil Breedlove, the current top Air Force commander in Europe; Adm. Bruce Clingan, the current top Navy commander in Europe; Army Gen. Chuck Jacoby, who commands Northern Command; Vice-Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Sandy Winnifeld; Gen. Robert Cone, the commander of U.S. Army Training and Doctrine Command; and Adm. Bill Gortney, the commander of U.S. Fleet Forces Command.

Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call

Marcel J. Lettre II, deputy chief of staff to Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, will serve as acting chief of staff to Chuck Hagel when he takes over the Pentagon as early as next week, multiple sources tell the E-Ring.

For weeks, Lettre (pictured above, left, red tie) has run Hagel’s transition team and has been a leading contender for the coveted chief of staff post. Panetta’s longtime chief of staff, Jeremy Bash, is expected to leave the Pentagon. Lettre’s role was explained in an email to staffers, but it is unclear if Hagel will tap him for the post permanently.

Hagel’s close aide, Aaron Dowd, is expected to have a job waiting for him after Hagel’s confirmation, if he wants. But as an outsider to government, Dowd first would have to go through the process of entering the high-security job. Hagel needs a chief of staff on day one.

Lettre leads a growing list of Panetta holdovers expected to stay in place at the Defense Department under Hagel.

Lettre ran Panetta’s transition from CIA director to the E-Ring in 2011 and has been a frequent world traveller with the SecDef. Previously, Lettre was principal deputy assistant secretary of defense for legislative affairs. Before coming to DOD, he was senior defense and intelligence advisor and, later, senior national security advisor to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV).

Several key players will remain in the policy shop, headed by Under Secretary Jim Miller (he's staying, too). Notably, Mark Lippert will stay on as assistant secretary of defense for Asian and Pacific security affairs. Lippert is a longtime Obama loyalist, rising from foreign policy advisor to then-Senator Obama to serve as the president’s National Security Council chief of staff in the White House. Lippert is a former Navy intelligence officer who served in Iraq, holds a B.A and M.A. from Stanford University, and studied Mandarin in Beijing. But he remains a bit of a quiet man in the Pentagon, largely avoiding public exposure despite the attention on the military's role in the pivot to Asia.

Derek Chollet, assistant secretary of defense for international security, will also stay put. Chollet is traveling with Panetta on Wednesday to this week’s NATO meeting of defense ministers in Brussels. The international security portfolio is wide-ranging, crossing several geographic regions. Chollet took the job just last year, replacing Sandy Vershbow, now deputy secretary general of NATO.

The Pentagon’s top legislative liaison, Elizabeth King, also is staying on board, the E-Ring is told. King, the assistant secretary of defense for legislative affairs, has enough work just dealing with the many budget issues before Congress, including the sequester negotiations, the unresolved fiscal 2013 budget, and the now tardy fiscal 2014 budget request.

DOD photo by Glenn Fawcett

The era of massive deployments of American troops sent to fight terrorism abroad is coming to an end, President Obama declared in his fifth State of the Union address before Congress.

Roughly 34,000 of the 66,000 troops in Afghanistan will come home by this day next year, Obama said, and the war will be over by the end of next year. Obama did not indicate whether those troops would come home slowly, or be held in the war zone through the warmer fighting months later in the year.

But in their place overseas, the U.S. will continue its counterterrorism mission to track al Qaeda and other organizations the president said are spreading across North Africa, but not without greater transparency and oversight.

“Today, the organization that attacked us on 9/11 is a shadow of its former self. Different al Qaeda affiliates and extremist groups have emerged -- from the Arabian Peninsula to Africa,” Obama said.  “The threat these groups pose is evolving. But to meet this threat, we don’t need to send tens of thousands of our sons and daughters abroad, or occupy other nations. Instead, we will need to help countries like Yemen, Libya, and Somalia provide for their own security, and help allies who take the fight to terrorists, as we have in Mali. And, where necessary, through a range of capabilities, we will continue to take direct action against those terrorists who pose the gravest threat to Americans.”

“As we do, we must enlist our values in the fight. That is why my Administration has worked tirelessly to forge a durable legal and policy framework to guide our counterterrorism operations.  Throughout, we have kept Congress fully informed of our efforts. I recognize that in our democracy, no one should just take my word that we’re doing things the right way.  So, in the months ahead, I will continue to engage with Congress to ensure not only that our targeting, detention, and prosecution of terrorists remains consistent with our laws and system of checks and balances, but that our efforts are even more transparent to the American people and to the world.”

The state of the union, Obama said, is “stronger," suggesting a country in transition -- not as weak as it once was, but not yet where it needs to be.

“Tonight, thanks to the grit and determination of the American people, there is much progress to report,” Obama said at the top, beginning with mention of the global conflicts against terrorism in which the U.S. is embroiled abroad.  “After a decade of grinding war, our brave men and women in uniform are coming home.”

In Afghanistan, he said, “This spring, our forces will move into a support role, while Afghan security forces take the lead. Tonight, I can announce that over the next year, another 34,000 American troops will come home from Afghanistan. This drawdown will continue. And by the end of next year, our war in Afghanistan will be over.”

Defense Secretary Leon Panetta welcomed Obama's drawdown announcement. Panetta, a senior defense official told the E-Ring, long had wanted to wait for Obama's troop decision before leaving office. "He wanted to give [Chuck] Hagel an on-ramp," the official said, of the Afghanistan war, among other issues facing the Pentagon.

In a statement, Panetta said, "I am confident that General [John] Dunford will have the combat power he needs to protect our forces, to continue building up the capabilities of Afghan National Security Forces, and to achieve the goal of this campaign ­ to deny al Qaeda a safe haven to attack our homeland."

"Our troops on the ground will continue to be in a tough fight," he continued, "and they will continue to face real challenges, but our fundamental goal is now within sight."

Less than 24 hours after North Korea exploded a nuclear device underground, Obama called out the regime, as well as Iran, in a section of the speech on nuclear weapons. Pyongyang and Tehran must live up to international demands to cease nuclear ambitions, he said, while the U.S. will engage in new talks with Russia, as has been expected, on reducing their arsenals further.

Obama also said the U.S. would stand behind the changes in the Middle East without wading too far into any of them, as democracy movements struggle to flourish.

“The process will be messy, and we cannot presume to dictate the course of change in countries like Egypt; but we can -- and will -- insist on respect for the fundamental rights of all people. We will keep the pressure on a Syrian regime that has murdered its own people, and support opposition leaders that respect the rights of every Syrian.”

Charles Dharapak-Pool/Getty Images

Posted By Kevin Baron

The U.S. is reducing its naval presence in the Persian Gulf region to just one aircraft carrier to reduce costs, a military official confirms to the E-Ring.

“Money,” was the one-word answer from the official, when asked for the reason behind the Pentagon’s decision.

The U.S. had positioned two carriers within Central Command last April, during a period when Iran was threatening to mine the Straits of Hormuz as the U.S. was ramping up sanctions on Tehran. USS Harry S. Truman (CVN 75) was due to shove off from Norfolk, Va., on Thursday, the official said, but the last-minute change means thousands of sailors, officers and personnel will now say stateside, indefintely. The Pentagon also cancelled the deployment of the USS Gettysburg (CG-64), a Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser.

It is the latest overt signal from the Obama administration that the budgetary uncertainty in Washington has already begun to affect military operations.

President Obama’s senior advisors met with defense industry executives at the White House on Wednesday, including Huntington Ingalls Industries, which builds aircraft carriers, according to press secretary Jay Carney.

In a Georgetown University speech on Wednesday morning, Defense Secretary Leon Panetta blasted Congress for a “lurching” budget drama he called the most concerning national security issue facing the country. Panetta said that if sequester happens next month, the Pentagon will have to curtail global naval operations, citing the pivot to Asia but not offering specifics.

“This is not a game. This is reality,” Panetta said.

The USS John C. Stennis (CVN 74) has been in the region since last fall. The USS Dwight D. Eisenhower was kept home for maintenance this winter, however, dropping the U.S. presence to one carrier in December.

The U.S. routinely sends carriers through the region at various times, so the actual number of carriers could increase quickly.

Pentagon press secretary George Little, in a statement, said "Facing budget uncertainty -- including a continuing resolution and the looming potential for across-the-board sequestration cuts -- the U.S. Navy made this request to the secretary and he approved. This prudent decision enables the U.S. Navy to maintain these ships to deploy on short notice in the event they are needed to respond to national security contingencies."


U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Kenneth Abbate/Released

Posted By Kevin Baron

Team Hagel is going nuclear.

No really, in response to a low but sustained murmur of conservative attacks on Chuck Hagel’s previous support for reducing the number of nuclear weapons, Team Hagel now has an “Atomic War Room.”

“Team Hagel is planning a full scale defense of the senator's record on nuclear issues,” said an official close to the confirmation team. “Some have wrongly suggested that he wants to unilaterally close America's nuclear arsenal. Nothing could be further from the truth. He firmly believes in a strong nuclear deterrent as long as we face nuclear threats.”

Hagel’s team has already said they were going on the attack. They defended Hagel’s nuclear record as one point of a seven-point myths vs. realties fact sheet released two weeks ago.

So why now? Are nuclear issues that big of a worry for Team Hagel? Or are they just trying to get out ahead of conservative senators, who seem to be running out of anti-Hagel ammunition? Worries of Hagel’s support for Israel and gay rights have come and gone. But nuclear issues -- fully funding nuclear labs and construction of new delivery vehicles like submarines and the next long-range bomber -- may get more play in Hagel’s confirmation hearing next Thursday. Sen. John Kerry (D-MA) faced several nuclear-related questions in his own confirmation hearing on Wednesday.

Either way, President Obama has made nuclear issues and disarmament a foreign policy priority. But his verve for the issue has never been picked up and matched by his first two Pentagon chiefs, Robert Gates and Leon Panetta.

With Hagel, Obama has picked a SecDef who spent the last few years advocating for disarmament.

Alex Wong/Getty Images

Posted By Kevin Baron, Gordon Lubold

Former staffers for Chuck Hagel say their old boss inspired the kind of loyalty that makes them want to run to his defense as the attacks mount against him.

"A number of us would lay in front of a bus for the man," one former staffer told Foreign Policy National Security.

“He wanted people around him who are thoughtful and inquisitive and nuanced,” said another former staffer, who said the boss led the charge when it comes to a work ethic.

“Nobody worked harder than him, which inspired great loyalty from his team.”

That kind of loyalty may mean Hagel will try to put the band back together if he is confirmed as the next Pentagon chief. Some of the names around Washington with close ties to President Obama’s nominee since he left the Senate in 2008 include a number of former staffers who have since gone taken different professional -- and ideological -- paths.

At least one former Hagelite is already in the building. Pentagon cyber boss Eric Rosenbach was Hagel’s national security advisor in the Senate and a staffer on the Select Committee on Intelligence. He was appointed deputy assistant secretary of defense for cyber policy in September 2011. Rosenbach also is a former Army intelligence officer with a J.D. from Harvard and master’s degree from Georgetown.

Aaron Dowd, former assistant to Hagel’s chief of staff, has remained closely connected to his boss and is considered to be on the short list for a big role in Hagel's front office.

Hagel’s former senior foreign policy advisor, Rexon Ryu (pictured above, left, in 2008), now works for Susan Rice as the deputy to the U.S. Permanent Representative to the United Nations. Prior, Ryu worked on Iran and nonproliferation at the National Security Council for two years. He began his career as a foreign service officer stationed in Cairo and Jerusalem. Ryu has been described as “Hagel’s brain” and someone who traveled everywhere with him.

Stacie Oliver was Hagel’s military/defense aide in the Senate. After he left, she joined Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN), who just became the ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. Joe Lai, another former Hagel staffer, is now the military legislative assistant for Sen. Roger Wicker (R-MS).

Mike Pevzner was Hagel’s staffer on the intel committee, where he has remained, working for Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA). Pevzner has Pentagon experience; he was “senior analyst for counterterrorism issues and acting Branch Chief at the Defense Department,” according to his Linkedin profile, and he is a former Army officer with time served in the building, Moscow, and Germany. Another Ivy Leaguer, Pevzner went to Dartmouth and has a degree from Tufts’ Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy.

Former Hagel foreign policy aide Andrew Parasiliti is now the editor of Al-Monitor. Before that he was executive director of the International Institute for Security Studies-U.S. office, a prestigious London-based think tank that runs the Shangri-La Dialogue, an annual June gathering in Singapore of Asia-Pacific defense ministers at which the U.S. defense secretary has delivered the keynote address for several years running. With a Ph.D. from Johns Hopkins’ School of Advanced International Studies, in Washington, Parasiliti previously worked on Middle East issues at Harvard and the Middle East Institute.

Hagel is known for being a history nut and information sponge. He always expected his staff to be as informed -- or more informed -- than he was. One former staffer said Hagel always wants to know who the different players are, what their angles are, and how they see the world, so he can better connect with them.

Hagel’s background as an enlisted man affords him extra gravitas around men and women in uniform. As a senator, he would make a point not only to sit privately with service members -- especially from Nebraska -- but was particularly interested in talking with enlisted members. Those interactions are one of the things that former staffers say created an infectious sense of purpose.

“Senator Hagel is committed to the highest standards of leadership and public service. His view is that service is an honor, you are there to do things that matter, that are important for the country, and to do them right,” said Parasiliti. “As a member of his staff, the feeling was contagious. With Hagel, you felt you were part of something bigger than yourself.”

Mike Buttry (pictured above, right) rose through the ranks of Hagelites from communications assistant to spokesman and then chief of staff, until Hagel’s very last day in the Senate.

He said one sign of loyalty are the number of staffers who left Hagel for the private sector or other campaign jobs, as Buttry did, but then returned to work for the senator. His former chief of staff Lou Anne Linehan went to work for Colin Powell but returned, and Tom Danton, Hagel’s state director, went into the private sector but also returned.

“It’s the guy,” Buttry said. “There’s a legion of Hagel people that would walk through a wall for him.” Buttry said Hagel staffers felt they were working for something “larger than yourself,” which he admits sounds corny but insists was genuine.

“The clue that we had was at the end, in 2008 [when Hagel retired from the Senate]. Almost nobody left until the last day, which I think is unheard of. It was out of a sense of not just loyalty to him, but out of loyalty to each other.” Buttry now lives in Minnesota with his young family and said he does not plan to return to Washington.

Other names to watch include Chad Kreikemeier, a former Hagel legislative assistant turned foreign policy advisor for Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), who serves on the Armed Services and Foreign Relations committees.

Bill Clark/Roll Call/Getty Images)

Posted By Kevin Baron

Chuck Hagel has built up a long and detailed record of his thinking on national security. In speeches and op-eds, Hagel, a Vietnam veteran, has presented a vision of American foreign policy that calls for building alliances, even with adversaries, and for recognizing the limitations of force and the patience required of diplomacy. Here are 10 quotes from President Obama’s nominee to succeed Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta that give us a better idea of what to expect from the former senator.

1.    “There will be no victory or defeat for the United States in Iraq.”

At the height of anti-Iraq War fever in November 2006, the Bush administration was facing a decision: double-down with a massive troop “surge” or pull out before the insurgency could do any more damage. As party lines ruled the day, Hagel published an op-ed in the Washington Post that broke ranks and said out loud that the U.S. was not winning the war. Hagel opposed the coming troop surge and advocated withdrawal. “We have misunderstood, misread, misplanned and mismanaged our honorable intentions in Iraq with an arrogant self-delusion reminiscent of Vietnam,” he wrote. By then, Hagel’s opposition was no secret, but the article stuck in Washington’s collective mind.

When Hagel retired in 2008, Sen. Robert Byrd (D-WV) said this in his floor tribute speech: “Senator Hagel's opposition to the war carried very special impact. He is a conservative, a member of the president's own political party, and a military veteran. In fact, he still carries shrapnel in his chest and remnants of burns to his face from his service as an infantryman in Vietnam. Senator Hagel now calls Mr. Bush's war in Iraq ‘an absolute replay of Vietnam.’”

2.    “The worst thing we can do, the most dangerous thing we can do is continue to isolate nations, is to continue to not engage nations. Great powers engage.”

The foreign policy debate over engagement with antagonistic regimes like Iran and North Korea -- and even China and Russia -- continues to rage. Hagel, in a keynote speech to the Israel Policy Forum in New York in December 2008, put himself at odds with the large chunk of Washington -- and Congress -- that prefers sanctions and military threats to diplomacy in attempts mitigate threats abroad. But Hagel’s focus on alliances will fit nicely with the Pentagon’s desire for “relationship building” and “building partner capacity” with friendly foreign armies. In warning that the military can’t fix Iraq, Afghanistan or Iran, Hagel has called for the U.S. to work the region’s countries into “some alignment of common interests.”  

3.    "I told Obama he should pick Biden as his running mate."

In 2008, Barack Obama had a wide selection of Democrats from which to pick his vice presidential running mate. Obama, a young, one-term senator with a worldly personal background but little experience in governance, had already sought out foreign policy mentoring from his elders in Sen. John Kerry (D-MA), Sen. Dick Lugar (R-IN), Hagel, and Joe Biden, a longtime senior Democrat on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. When Biden’s own run for the presidency fizzled, Obama kept him in close counsel and made the white-haired elder his second, with Hagel’s blessing. Since occupying the White House, Obama has kept Hagel close. Now the president has Biden at his side, Kerry at the State Department, and Hagel in the Pentagon.

4.    “There is no glory in war, only suffering.”

At the ground-breaking for the Vietnam Veterans Memorial wall in 1982, a much younger Hagel uttered that bold phrase, reflecting the disdain of the nation at the war. Hagel and his brother, Tom, served together in Vietnam, earning Purple Hearts at a time when Americans did not support the troops like they do today. But the wounds have never healed. Hagel frequently invokes the “folly” of Vietnam and is viewed as a non-interventionist. That makes him an interesting pick to lead the military at this moment. In May 2011, once again at the wall, Hagel repeated the phrase in a speech. Keep that in mind as Hagel likely directs the end of the Afghanistan war and the beginning of the expensive post-war era for millions of Iraq and Afghanistan veterans, some facing a lifetime of emotional and physical healing. “As we have painfully learned from the tragic misadventure of Vietnam, society must always separate the war from the warrior. We do not celebrate the Vietnam War. We commemorate and historically recognize it.”

5.    “I don't have to be President. I don't have to be a senator. I just have to live with myself.”

On the Senate floor in late 2008, tribute speeches poured in over Hagel’s reputation as an independent voice and respected leader on foreign policy and national security that ignored party lines. As a result, there is a record of praise for Hagel that would appear to make his confirmation far easier than has been portrayed recently. Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) said, “In two terms in the Senate, Chuck has earned the respect of his colleagues and risen to national prominence as a clear voice on foreign policy and national security.” Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) called Hagel “one of the bravest and most fiercely independent Members of this legislative body.” Reid said that quote, which he appeared to paraphrase on the Senate floor, was Hagel’s answer to those calling for him to run for the presidency or vice presidency. Byrd said: “The Senate needs strong, independent voices like Senator Hagel -- lawmakers who are willing to put the best interests of our country and American people over partisan politics.” Sen. Richard Lugar (R-IN) said, “In the Senate, Chuck embraced responsibility for U.S. national security as few Senators have in recent decades.”

6.    “The United States will remain committed to defending Israel. Our relationship with Israel is a special and historic one. But it need not and cannot be at the expense of our Arab and Muslim relationships. That is an irresponsible and dangerous false choice.”

Perhaps the loudest pre-nomination concern over Hagel has been his allegedly insufficient support for Israel. But in a 2006 speech on the Senate floor, Hagel said the U.S. should walk and chew gum at the same time in the Middle East. He said that Israel has the right to defend itself, he blasted Arab attacks, and he called for an international military force to deploy along the Lebanese border. But he also said: “The United States and Israel must understand that it is not in their long-term interests to allow themselves to become isolated in the Middle East and the world. Neither can allow themselves to drift into an ‘us against the world’ global optic or zero-sum game. That would marginalize America's global leadership, our trust and influence, further isolating Israel, and it would prove disastrous for both countries, as well as the region. It is in Israel's interest, as much as ours, that the United States be seen by all states in the Middle East as fair. This is the currency of trust.” That position may not mesh with some senators’ views. But how different is it from the White House’s?

7.    “We must avoid the traps of hubris and imperial temptation that comes with great power.”

With the United States more than a year into the global war on terrorism, Hagel invoked the anti-imperial warnings of Winston Churchill in delivering the Landon Lecture at Kansas State University. It was February 2003, and the Bush administration was on the verge of invading Iraq -- an action that would marry U.S. troops to that country for eight years. Hagel set the bar high for using American military force to solve foreign policy problems. Staring down the concern over Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction, Hagel said, “American purpose requires more than the application of American power,” warning that the U.S. would have to stay in Iraq for post-war rebuilding. “War, if it is necessary, should be a means, and not an end, to achieve a plan of action to encourage conflict resolution and peaceful change in Iraq and throughout the Middle East.”

8.     “We forgot all the lessons of Vietnam and the preceding history.”

In 2009, Hagel challenged President Obama and the United States to get out of Afghanistan and Iraq sooner rather than later, arguing that neither war was America’s to win. “Win what?” he asked, explaining that changing minds and the quality of life in places like the Afghanistan-Pakistan border region would require “political accommodation and reconciliation.” That term was far more controversial three years ago, when Hagel inked it in the Washington Post.  And, again, Hagel pushed for long-term, multinational coalition building across regions that work with perceived adversaries to find common interests. “Does anyone believe we will get to a responsible resolution on Iran without Russia?” Good question, still.


9.    “It's never a good easy clean choice in foreign policy.”

In a 2007 interview at the Council on Foreign Relations, Hagel basically rejected the “with us or against us” approach of the Bush administration and took a sharp jab at the talking points heard on the presidential campaign trail. Hagel was basically telling the partisans in Washington to leave national security to the grown-ups. Look for him to show his appreciation for nuance in the massive Defense Department by resisting rhetorical spit-balling from Obama’s detractors on issues like the budget, China, Iran, Russia, and even Israel.

10.    “Time is the most critical commodity you have.  If you squander the time, if you squander the moment, if you squander the opportunity, if you squander the boldness, what price do you pay on that?” 

In that same CFR forum heading into the 2008 election cycle, Hagel criticized the Bush administration for not doing more to promote international alliances, spending too much time reacting to crises and not driving a long-term strategic vision. He later challenged President Obama to start thinking about how to get out of Iraq and Afghanistan. Currently, Pentagon workers describe 2012 as a year spent in waiting -- for a budget, for troop numbers in Afghanistan, and, frankly, for a new defense secretary. If past is prologue, don’t expect a Secretary Hagel to slow roll into the job. Could he convince the president to speed up an Afghanistan war ending sooner than 2014? It wouldn’t be out of character.

PAUL J. RICHARDS/AFP/Getty Images

Posted By Kevin Baron

U.S. intelligence and military officials are shaking their heads at a news report out of Pakistan this week claiming that Pakistani authorities possess a heretofore unknown personal diary of Osama bin Laden’s found at the terrorist’s Abbottabad compound after U.S. Navy SEALs completed their mission to kill the al Qaeda leader, but before the compound was demolished last year.

The U.S. team of 79 people, including SEAL Team 6, returned from the historic assault inside Pakistan on May 2, 2011, with a large trove of documents, including a handwritten diary of bin Laden’s that included operational instructions to the dispersed al Qaeda network, several U.S. news agencies reported at the time.

But the mention of a new bin Laden diary this week turned a few heads. The article, first published in The News International, which claims to be Pakistan’s largest English-language newspaper, and picked up by other South Asian news outlets, claims that in the diary bin Laden reveals he had bribed a local tax collector to permit the construction of the three-story building and high-walled compound in which the world’s most wanted terrorist hid for his final days.

“Pakistani officials discovered a diary in which Osama had described that he had to bribe the revenue officials for construction of his compound, which is a unique incident in the history when the Patwari [village accountant] had taken bribe from the most-wanted terrorist of the world,” the story reads.

“The Patwari was in complete ignorance about the identity of Osama when he was taking the bribe from him. But the diaries, which were translated, revealed that Osama was not only well aware of this practice but the bribe was also given with his permission.”

According to the story, the Patwari has been “arrested and investigated.”

The News International often publishes stories that align with the interest of Pakistan’s Inter-Services Intelligence agency, or ISI. But several U.S. intelligence and military officials with intimate knowledge of the mission contacted by the E-Ring were unaware of the purported diary.

“We do not have any way of knowing what information may have been missed during the sweep after the raid,” said Ken McGraw, deputy public affairs officer at U.S. Special Operations Command, which oversaw the SEAL team that conducted the raid and brought back a trove of documents and computer files after reportedly an estimated 38 minutes on the ground. “Special Operations Forces turn over all information collected during an operation to the intelligence community.”

A U.S. intelligence official with intimate knowledge of the raid, speaking anonymously, told the E-Ring, “I'm unaware of any such diary that was left at the Abbottabad compound.”

CIA officials declined to comment publicly on the foreign media report.

Warrick Page/Getty Images

Posted By Kevin Baron

Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf, famed U.S. commander of the Gulf War, has died, U.S. and defense officials confirm. Schwarzkopf became a household name in 1991 as commanding general of Operation Desert Storm and the military coalition that drove Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein's invading troops out of Kuwait.

"With the passing of General Norman Schwarzkopf, we've lost an American original," said President Obama, in a statement. "Schwarzkopf stood tall for the country and Army he loved. Our prayers are with the Schwarzkopf family, who tonight can know that his legacy will endure in a nation that is more secure because of his patriotic service."

President George H.W. Bush also released a statement, according to KHOU television news in Houston, saying, "Barbara and I mourn the loss of a true American patriot and one of the great military leaders of his generation. A distinguished member of that Long Gray Line hailing from West Point, General Norm Schwarzkopf, to me, epitomized the 'duty, service, country' creed that has defended our freedom and seen this great Nation through our most trying international crises. More than that, he was a good and decent man -- and a dear friend. Barbara and I send our condolences to his wife Brenda and his wonderful family."

Long before the Iraq War of 2003 gave the world Gens. Tommy Franks, George Casey, David Petraeus, or Ray Odierno, the Persian Gulf gave us "Stormin" Norman.

Schwarzkopf led an operation involving more than 600,000 U.S. troops who had amassed in the Middle East following Hussien's invasion of Kuwait in 1990.  The participating nations marked the 20th anniversary of the liberation of Kuwait, last year.

The swift and stunning U.S.-led victory at the tail end of the Cold War was a rare spate of hot American military action since the Vietnam War. It also unfolded live and in real time on cable news, making instant celebrities of the military and Pentagon leadership at the time, including then-Defense Secretary Dick Cheney. Virtually all Western media outlets were expelled from Baghdad before U.S. bombs began to fall ahead of the ground invasion. But CNN carried live video and audio, with anchor Bernard Shaw's now famous call, "The skies over Baghdad have been illuminated," to a captivated American audience watching the war, live from their living rooms.

"America lost a great patriot and a great soldier," said retired Gen. Colin Powell, who served as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff to Bush during the war, in a statement posted to his Facebook page. "Norm served his country with courage and distinction for over 35 years. ...His leadership not only inspired his troops, but also inspired the nation. He was a good friend of mine, a close buddy. I will miss him."

Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said, Schwarzkopf "left an indelible imprint on the United States military and on the country," noting the general earned three Silver Stars over two tours in Vietnam and commanded Central Command.

"General Schwarzkopf’s skilled leadership of that campaign liberated the Kuwaiti people and produced a decisive victory for the allied coalition.  In the aftermath of that war, General Schwarzkopf was justly recognized as a brilliant strategist and inspiring leader.  Today, we recall that enduring legacy and remember him as one of the great military giants of the 20th century.  My thoughts and prayers are with the Schwarzkopf family in this time of sadness and grief."

Gen. Martin Dempsey, Joint Chiefs chairman, in a statement said he was saddened by Schwarzkopf's passing, calling the him "one of the 20th century's finest soldiers and leaders."

Schwarzkopf died at his home in Tampa, Fla. this afternoon at 2:20pm, surrounded by his family, a U.S. official told the E-Ring. "He passed after battling a long illness," the official said. The illness was not disclosed.

J. DAVID AKE/AFP/Getty Images

Kevin Baron reports on the people and policies driving the Pentagon and the national security establishment in The E-Ring.

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